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LVS

Las Vegas SandsB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Macao volume growth persists, gaming hold normalizes, and Marina Bay Sands remains profitable; repurchases could add per-share support. These are conditional outcomes, not guidance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
LVS reported a $16.06 billion weighted-average debt balance and $189 million of quarterly interest expense in Q2. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Momentum
16
Value
65
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $38.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $29.00Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $53.19
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d +1.9
Value65 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • LVS reported a $16.06 billion weighted-average debt balance and $189 million of quarterly interest expense in Q2. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
  • • Macao rolling-play hold can overwhelm volume growth in reported quarterly results. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
  • • Q2 revenue fell to $3.15 billion from $3.18 billion and consolidated adjusted property EBITDA fell to $1.12 billion from $1.33 billion.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-21

Q3 Macao volume-to-earnings test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
16
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
-4.2
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
-17.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 16.4 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 60.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$22.93B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
626.99M
P/E (TTM)
29.2
P/S (TTM)
3.56
P/FCF (TTM)
107.65
Rev YoY
-0.7%
EPS YoY
-20.4%
Gross Margin
+37.4%
Op Margin
+23.4%
Net Debt
$12.13B
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data