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LUV

Southwest AirlinesC
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes successful margin recovery, stable fuel costs, and stronger business-travel volumes that push shares toward the high end of analyst targets (operational execution and favorable yields).
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.5.
What can break
Fuel-price volatility
Momentum
10
Value
50
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $41.65 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $23.82Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.23
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -4.6
Value50 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -2.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fuel-price volatility
  • • Labor negotiations and higher wage costs
  • • Bear case assumes continued margin pressure from higher unit costs, capacity missteps, or weaker-than-expected business travel, pushing the stock toward the low end of analyst targets.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-28

Next quarterly earnings release (assumed window end)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.6
Δ21d
-12.1
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+3.9
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
+3.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 10.5 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 71.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$41.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.82
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$21.21B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
489.21M
P/E (TTM)
65.6
P/S (TTM)
0.80
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-27.61
Rev YoY
+16.4%
EPS YoY
+20.0%
Gross Margin
+18.9%
Op Margin
+4.3%
Net Debt
$2.75B
Current Ratio
0.49
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data