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LTM

LATAM Airlines GroupB
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
LATAM demonstrated profitability under an unusually severe fuel-cost shock, supported by premium mix and revenue diversification. The reported median analyst target of approximately $71.54 is materially above the $51.55 anchor price, but the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.
What can break
Evidence quality is low and forward visibility remains limited despite the constructive Q2 result.
Momentum
38
Value
69
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $54.00 · Bull $65.00 · Bear $43.00Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $71.20
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -10.9
Value69 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Evidence quality is low and forward visibility remains limited despite the constructive Q2 result.
  • Fleet, labor, capacity and operational execution remain important to sustaining profitability.
  • The positive Q2 result may already be substantially reflected in the price, while fuel inflation, weaker yields or execution issues could reverse margin resilience.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-11

Q2 operating resilience despite fuel shock

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.9
Δ21d
-2.3
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-13.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 37.6 / Value 68.9 / Sentiment 66.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.02B
Beta
-0.98
Shares Out
287.11M
P/E (TTM)
13.4
P/S (TTM)
1.17
P/FCF (TTM)
12.47
Rev YoY
+26.7%
EPS YoY
-45.2%
Gross Margin
+26.4%
Op Margin
+15.2%
Net Debt
$5.93B
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data