B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
-9.4% vs current
LSCC
Lattice SemiconductorDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
-23.7% vs current
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
-38.6% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+16.7
Positive
Company
+17.2
Positive
Macro
+20.7
Positive
Pulse
-62.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+23.3
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source tone improved materially after the May 4 earnings release and AMI announcement. Trusted follow-up coverage indicated shares rose about 2% in extended trading on May 4, but the May 7 anchor price of $119.92 was slightly below the $120.96 May 1 close referenced in the AMI release, suggesting the market has not fully endorsed the bigger M&A-and-AI narrative yet. Analyst reaction appears directionally positive but still early rather than broad-based, and the available peer set is imperfect outside AMD/Xilinx and Intel/Altera, so this remains a constructive monitoring setup rather than a clean re-rating call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-08
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-04eventQ1 beat-and-raise reinforced a stronger 2026 revenue slopeMedium impact
Lattice reported Q1 2026 revenue of $170.9M, non-GAAP EPS of $0.41, record Compute and Communications revenue, and guided Q2 revenue to $175M-$195M with non-GAAP EPS of $0.42-$0.46, while management cited strong backlog and design-win momentum and said the company is in the early stages of a multi-year growth cycle [#IR-2026-05-04] [#10-Q-2026-05-04].
2026-09-30catalystAMI acquisition could broaden LSCC from FPGA supplier into a larger secure management platformHigh impact
Lattice announced a definitive agreement to acquire AMI for $1.65B, with the target expected to generate over $200M of 2026 revenue; management said the deal should be immediately accretive to non-GAAP gross margin, free cash flow, and EPS and support a $1B+ annual revenue run rate by Q4 2026, but closing still depends on regulatory approvals and integration execution [#IR-2026-05-04-AMI].
2026-12-31catalystAI server and companion-chip content gains remain the core fundamental upsideHigh impact
Management said new-product revenue growth was led by AI-related server demand, Compute and Communications hit record revenue, and Industrial and Embedded grew more than 20% sequentially, supporting the thesis that LSCC is gaining content in server, AI, and control applications rather than relying only on a cyclical rebound [#IR-2026-05-04].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology