B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
LRCX
Lam ResearchDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected AI and advanced-packaging capex drives multi-quarter order momentum, higher utilization at fabs, and improved pricing for Lam's high-value tools; scenario supports sustained upside toward the analyst high of $325 if execution and bookings persist.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Cyclical capex softness / order push-outs
Momentum
72
Value
52
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $275.00 · Bull $325.00 · Bear $215.00Analysis 2026-03-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $383.96
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -0.7
Value52 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -5.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical capex softness / order push-outs
- • Execution risk on new product ramps
- • A slower-than-expected AI/packaging investment cycle or order push-outs would compress backlog and margins, pushing Lam toward the analyst low/near-term trading band around $211–$220.
Catalyst clock
2026-02-03
Board/officer changes disclosed in Form 8-K
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+31.9
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.7
Δ21d
+4.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 72.4 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 45.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$430.25B
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
1.25B
P/E (TTM)
42.9
P/S (TTM)
12.49
P/FCF (TTM)
55.98
Rev YoY
+30.0%
EPS YoY
+34.6%
Gross Margin
+50.5%
Op Margin
+35.3%
Net Debt
-$1.46B
Current Ratio
2.63
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data