B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
LRCX
Lam ResearchBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected AI and advanced-packaging capex drives multi-quarter order momentum, higher utilization at fabs, and improved pricing for Lam's high-value tools; scenario supports sustained upside toward the analyst high of $325 if execution and bookings persist.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: Spotify Rallies on Subscribers; Hermès falls on China Sales | Stock Movers.
What can break
Cyclical capex softness / order push-outs
Momentum
38
Value
52
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $275.00 · Bull $325.00 · Bear $215.00Analysis 2026-03-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $367.89
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -15.1
Value52 · Δ7d +1.1
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +14.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • News driver: Spotify Rallies on Subscribers; Hermès falls on China Sales | Stock Movers.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical capex softness / order push-outs
- • Execution risk on new product ramps
- • A slower-than-expected AI/packaging investment cycle or order push-outs would compress backlog and margins, pushing Lam toward the analyst low/near-term trading band around $211–$220.
Catalyst clock
2026-02-03
Board/officer changes disclosed in Form 8-K
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.1
Δ21d
-15.9
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.3
Δ21d
+37.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 38.2 / Value 52.3 / Sentiment 65.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$296.68B
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
1.25B
P/E (TTM)
42.9
P/S (TTM)
12.49
P/FCF (TTM)
55.98
Rev YoY
+30.0%
EPS YoY
+34.6%
Gross Margin
+50.5%
Op Margin
+35.3%
Net Debt
-$1.46B
Current Ratio
2.63
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data