B+
Bull case
22%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LQDT
Liquidity ServicesDNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The constructive case is that Q1 FY26 already showed the right ingredients: GMV grew 3.1% to $398.0 million, adjusted EBITDA rose to $18.1 million, GovDeals expanded faster than GMV on service-level gains, and RSCG margin improved despite lower purchase-model revenue mix; if those trends continue, LQDT can grow earnings faster than revenue from operating leverage [#10-Q-2026-02-05] [#PR-2026-02-05].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.8.
What can break
CAG results can swing with project timing and large lower-take-rate energy or industrial transactions.
Momentum
66
Value
51
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-04-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.00
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d -9.0
Value51 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment40 · Δ7d -2.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • CAG results can swing with project timing and large lower-take-rate energy or industrial transactions.
- • Execution risk remains around scaling software, Retail Rush, and acquired Auction Software without diluting returns.
- • The bear case is that forward visibility is still limited and mix-sensitive.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-08
Q2 FY26 results versus management outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
-7.9
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
40
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
+5.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 66.0 / Value 51.0 / Sentiment 40.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-20. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
46%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
32%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.34B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
31.33M
P/E (TTM)
35.4
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM)
15.94
Rev YoY
+8.1%
EPS YoY
+39.2%
Gross Margin
+45.5%
Op Margin
+9.0%
Net Debt
-$171.7M
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data