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LPX

Louisiana-PacificC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
The bull case is that the earnings miss-vs-prior-year was already known by the market, while the company still delivered results at or above guided ranges, held roughly $900 million of liquidity, and kept full-year EBITDA guidance intact despite a volatile housing and OSB backdrop. The median target in the packet remains well above the May 7 anchor price, but analyst-count visibility is incomplete.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
OSB remains the biggest swing factor: Q2 and FY2026 OSB EBITDA guidance assumes Random Lengths prices stay at May 1, 2026 levels, so further price erosion would pressure earnings. [#8-K-2026-05-06]
Momentum
41
Value
52
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $84.00 · Bull $95.00 · Bear $62.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $93.15
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d +1.3
Value52 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -5.0
So what
Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
41
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+1.4
Value
52
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
56
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
+9.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 40.7 / Value 52.3 / Sentiment 55.6

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$5.17B
Beta
1.81
Shares Out
69.86M
P/E (TTM)
27.3
P/S (TTM)
2.07
P/FCF (TTM)
87.20
Rev YoY
-20.7%
EPS YoY
-70.3%
Gross Margin
+19.8%
Op Margin
+10.4%
Net Debt
$87M
Current Ratio
3.27
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology