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Lockheed MartinC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: Rapid conversion of NGSRI into production contracts, continued high F-35 deliveries and elevated missile-defense awards drive meaningful revenue and margin expansion; scenario supports reaching the analyst high ($664.0) under sustained procurement tailwinds.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
News driver: Cotton Calls For Military Supply Chain Security Review After F-35 Parts Diverted To Hong Kong.
What can break
Export controls or geopolitical limits on international sales
Momentum
65
Value
58
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $560.41 · Bull $664.00 · Bear $430.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $620.23
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +3.0
Value58 · Δ7d -2.3
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -9.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • News driver: Cotton Calls For Military Supply Chain Security Review After F-35 Parts Diverted To Hong Kong.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Export controls or geopolitical limits on international sales
  • • Program execution or flight-test setbacks (e.g., NGSRI/F-35 delays)
  • • Bear: Meaningful DoD procurement delays, program setbacks or cost overruns compress margins and slow backlog conversion, driving downside toward analyst lows (near $430.0) absent corrective execution.

Catalyst clock

2025-03-24

PAC-3 MSE record production momentum

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
+3.8
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-4.3
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.4
Δ21d
-28.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 65.2 / Value 57.9 / Sentiment 45.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$664.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$560.41
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$430.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$139.44B
Beta
0.22
Shares Out
230.79M
P/E (TTM)
28.6
P/S (TTM)
1.61
P/FCF (TTM)
79.82
Rev YoY
+10.5%
EPS YoY
+444.3%
Gross Margin
+12.7%
Op Margin
+11.8%
Net Debt
$18.65B
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data