B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LKQ
LKQANasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Europe service levels and margins recover under operational intervention while North America remains comparatively resilient; the active strategic review could add optionality, but no transaction is assured. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-23] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
CEO and Europe leadership departures create transition risk; the strategic review has no assured outcome or timetable. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-23] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
19
Value
66
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $30.64
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -10.9
Value66 · Δ7d +1.9
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +32.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +32.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • CEO and Europe leadership departures create transition risk; the strategic review has no assured outcome or timetable. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-23] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
- • Europe's Germany ERP disruption, UK and Benelux volume declines, and sharply lower segment margin may persist. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-23]
- • The preliminary Europe contraction, margin collapse and withdrawn 2026 guidance indicate a deeper execution problem.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
October 29 final Q3 results and call
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.9
Δ21d
-26.9
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+2.5
Sentiment
79
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+32.4
Δ21d
+23.8
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 19.3 / Value 66.2 / Sentiment 78.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.41B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
253M
P/E (TTM)
11.6
P/S (TTM)
0.57
P/FCF (TTM)
19.38
Rev YoY
-3.0%
EPS YoY
-27.6%
Gross Margin
+35.7%
Op Margin
+7.2%
Net Debt
$4.74B
Current Ratio
1.58
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data