LITE
LumentumFNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Lumentum has moved from recovery into an AI-optics acceleration phase: Q3 revenue rose 90.1% year over year, non-GAAP gross margin reached 47.9%, and Q4 guidance stepped higher again [#8-K-2026-05-05]. Reuters also framed the guide as above Wall Street expectations on AI-driven demand.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Current portion of long-term debt was $3.24 billion at March 28, 2026, leaving the capital structure more complex even after the cash build [#10-Q-2026-05-06].
Momentum
28
Value
44
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $850.00 · Bull $1,100.00 · Bear $650.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1,126.41
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d -3.0
Value44 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -3.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
28
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-32.1
Value
44
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
+6.9
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 27.9 / Value 44.1 / Sentiment 45.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$65.16B
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
77.8M
P/E (TTM)
238.7
P/S (TTM)
13.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
686.69
Rev YoY
+90.1%
EPS YoY
-332.8%
Gross Margin
+35.4%
Op Margin
-4.9%
Net Debt
$1.73B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology