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LumentumC
Nasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The primary earnings release shows accelerating revenue, margin expansion, and a Q1 FY27 guide that supports continued AI-led demand. OCS, CPO, and 1.6T adoption provide multiple potential growth vectors beyond the reported quarter.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Customer concentration and dependence on sustained AI data-center capital spending.
Momentum
92
Value
44
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $1,100.00 · Bull $1,250.00 · Bear $720.00Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,142.92
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d +2.1
Value44 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +6.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer concentration and dependence on sustained AI data-center capital spending.
  • • Execution risk in scaling OCS, CPO, ELS, NPO, and 1.6T programs.
  • • The growth narrative is increasingly reflected in the valuation, and execution must sustain a rapid ramp across several emerging products.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-11

Strong Q4 print and aggressive FY27 opening guide

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
92
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+8.9
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+7.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 91.8 / Value 43.9 / Sentiment 62.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1,250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1,100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$720.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$75.38B
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
77.8M
P/E (TTM)
238.7
P/S (TTM)
13.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
285.09
Rev YoY
+109.3%
EPS YoY
-2957.5%
Gross Margin
+39.7%
Op Margin
+17.9%
Net Debt
-$1.07B
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data