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LION

Lionsgate StudiosB
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q1 results, record Motion Picture profitability, improved free cash flow, backlog growth, and planned scripted-delivery expansion support a constructive medium-term setup.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.6.
What can break
Commercial success of films and television programming is unpredictable.
Momentum
15
Value
62
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.30 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $9.40Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.50
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +3.6
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d -10.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercial success of films and television programming is unpredictable.
  • • Leverage remains elevated despite recent improvement, increasing sensitivity to cash-flow shortfalls.
  • • Television Production revenue and profit declined because of episodic-delivery timing; content remains hit-driven, leverage is still elevated at 4.3x, and execution or commercial underperformance could pressure cash flow.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q1 FY2027 earnings reset fundamentals higher

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+2.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+8.6
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.6
Δ21d
-3.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 15.5 / Value 61.8 / Sentiment 79.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$9.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.56B
Beta
-0.15
Shares Out
297.56M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-17.1
P/S (TTM)
0.93
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
20.68
Rev YoY
+47.7%
EPS YoY
-75.0%
Gross Margin
+38.9%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
$3.77B
Current Ratio
0.44
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data