RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

LII

Lennox InternationalA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Commercial BCS growth, acquisitions, improved cash flow, and maintained $750 million-$850 million free-cash-flow outlook can support earnings durability while residential replacement demand recovers.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
What can break
Commercial growth includes a meaningful acquisition contribution, creating integration and execution risk.
Momentum
11
Value
62
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $450.00 · Bull $510.00 · Bear $350.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $500.83
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d +1.0
Value62 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercial growth includes a meaningful acquisition contribution, creating integration and execution risk.
  • • FY2026 EPS guidance was lowered, while lower volume and factory absorption pressured margins.
  • • Residential HCS revenue fell 7%, volume declined, segment margin contracted 130 basis points, and management delayed meaningful recovery benefits to 2027.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 2026 earnings reset near-term expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+2.2
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+11.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 10.6 / Value 61.5 / Sentiment 85.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$510.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$450.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.38B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
34.56M
P/E (TTM)
21.3
P/S (TTM)
3.31
P/FCF (TTM)
48.30
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+0.2%
Gross Margin
+33.0%
Op Margin
+19.7%
Net Debt
$1.74B
Current Ratio
1.57
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data