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LFT

Lument Finance TrustF
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A better Q2 result, maintained dividend, and improving credit or financing conditions could support a recovery from distressed trading levels.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Credit losses, liquidity, leverage, and financing compliance remain material risks, while the packet lacks a clean Q2 operating update.
Momentum
90
Value
40
Sentiment
25
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.70 · Bull $0.95 · Bear $0.40Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.67
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -
Value40 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment25 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Credit losses, liquidity, leverage, and financing compliance remain material risks, while the packet lacks a clean Q2 operating update.
  • NYSE continued-listing deficiency with a possible reverse stock split and a January 24, 2027 cure deadline [#IR-2026-07-30].
  • The NYSE deficiency, weak Q1 dividend coverage, and unresolved credit and financing uncertainty leave meaningful downside if the Q2 filing disappoints or a reverse split becomes more likely.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-14

Q2 2026 filing and investor call will test dividend coverage

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
25
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 89.6 / Value 40.0 / Sentiment 25.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$0.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$31.49M
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
52.49M
P/E (TTM)
14.0
P/S (TTM)
0.81
P/FCF (TTM)
10.54
Rev YoY
-7.3%
EPS YoY
-466.0%
Gross Margin
+90.0%
Op Margin
+59.4%
Net Debt
$961.48M
Current Ratio
7.80
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data