B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LDOS
LeidosANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue increased 7% year over year, organic growth was 4%, quarterly contract awards approached $5 billion, and operating and free cash flow were strong. Enhanced FY2026 guidance and growth across defense technology, energy infrastructure, and cyber could support renewed appreciation if backlog converts at attractive margins.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 13.8% from 15.2%, leaving margin recovery and mix normalization as key execution tests. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
59
Value
65
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $138.00 · Bull $160.00 · Bear $105.00Analysis 2026-09-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $156.60
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -23.4
Value65 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 13.8% from 15.2%, leaving margin recovery and mix normalization as key execution tests. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
- • Backlog and contract awards may not convert on expected schedules or at assumed margins; disclosed evidence does not provide detailed revenue phasing.
- • GAAP EPS declined 7%, adjusted EBITDA declined 2%, and adjusted EBITDA margin contracted to 13.8% from 15.2%.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Q2 beat and enhanced FY2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.4
Δ21d
-21.4
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 59.0 / Value 65.2 / Sentiment 81.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$17.85B
Beta
0.59
Shares Out
125.49M
P/E (TTM)
18.3
P/S (TTM)
1.44
P/FCF (TTM)
21.24
Rev YoY
+7.2%
EPS YoY
-6.6%
Gross Margin
+17.8%
Op Margin
+11.8%
Net Debt
$4.14B
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data