B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LDOS
LeidosCNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue grew 7% year over year, free cash flow reached $761 million, guidance was raised, and funded backlog grew. Successful conversion of awards and evidence that the Analogic venture preserves value could support a rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 140 basis points year over year in Q2 despite revenue growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
34
Value
66
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $120.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $151.73
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d -4.0
Value66 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -10.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 140 basis points year over year in Q2 despite revenue growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] SEC earnings exhibit
- • Analogic venture integration, debt service, and minority-control limits create uncertainty around future economics. [#8-K-2026-10-05] SEC filing Company release
- • Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 13.8% from 15.2%, while GAAP EPS declined year over year.
Catalyst clock
2027-01-02
FY2026 guidance delivery
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
34
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.0
Δ21d
-1.8
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
-22.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 34.0 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 42.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$17.08B
Beta
0.59
Shares Out
125.49M
P/E (TTM)
18.3
P/S (TTM)
1.44
P/FCF (TTM)
21.24
Rev YoY
+7.2%
EPS YoY
-6.6%
Gross Margin
+17.8%
Op Margin
+11.8%
Net Debt
$4.14B
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data