B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LBTYA
Liberty GlobalCNasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Preliminary VodafoneZiggo subscriber and revenue improvement, tower-sale proceeds earmarked for deleveraging, and progress toward a Ziggo Group separation could make the underlying assets easier to value. The Q3 release must substantiate the preliminary operating claims.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -23.6.
What can break
Q2 consolidated Liberty Telecom revenue declined 2.7% year over year despite stronger broadband-net-add commentary. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-24]
Momentum
11
Value
44
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.50 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $5.50Analysis 2026-10-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.42
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -3.9
Value44 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -23.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -23.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Q2 consolidated Liberty Telecom revenue declined 2.7% year over year despite stronger broadband-net-add commentary. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-24]
- • The targeted mid-2027 Ziggo Group listing and spin-off depend on further disposals and separation work. [#8-K-2026-10-14]
- • The improvement may not translate into durable cash flow, the tower sale or spin-off could slip, and restructuring and consolidation complicate comparison with prior periods.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-03
November 3 third-quarter results
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-11.3
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
68
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.6
Δ21d
-13.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 10.8 / Value 43.8 / Sentiment 68.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-20. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.7B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
341.09M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.4
P/S (TTM)
1.00
P/FCF (TTM)
6.71
Rev YoY
-7.7%
EPS YoY
-86.7%
Gross Margin
+26.7%
Op Margin
-0.6%
Net Debt
$7.27B
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data