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LBTYA

Liberty GlobalB
Nasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The strongest upside case is a narrowing of the strategic discount as Liberty Global executes the Ziggo separation, monetizes non-core assets, and sustains improving broadband trends in the Benelux. European telecom assets generate substantial revenue and EBITDA, while management is emphasizing value-unlocking transactions.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
What can break
Analyst coverage and revision data are insufficient for a strong consensus-based thesis.
Momentum
26
Value
43
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-08-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.68
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -8.2
Value43 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage and revision data are insufficient for a strong consensus-based thesis.
  • • Asset sales and corporate cash generation may not translate into per-share value creation.
  • • The thesis remains exposed to intense UK competition, weak ARPU and service-revenue trends, elevated Virgin Media O2 leverage and capex, and delays in Wire monetization or other separation steps.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-25

Ziggo Group separation milestones

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.2
Δ21d
+12.5
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+6.7
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-16.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 26.0 / Value 43.2 / Sentiment 84.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.53B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
341.09M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.5
P/S (TTM)
1.00
P/FCF (TTM)
6.71
Rev YoY
-7.7%
EPS YoY
-86.7%
Gross Margin
+26.7%
Op Margin
-0.6%
Net Debt
$7.27B
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data