B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
LBRT
Liberty EnergyDNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Asset monetizations, stronger commodity realizations, or clear capital-return actions could re-rate shares toward the analyst high and lift the stock into the low‑mid $20s.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.
What can break
Earnings or guidance below consensus
Momentum
8
Value
47
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.57 · Bull $25.20 · Bear $15.15Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.73
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d +0.8
Value47 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Earnings or guidance below consensus
- • Failed or unfavourable asset-sale / capital-allocation outcomes
- • Guidance misses, distribution cuts, or sustained commodity weakness could push valuation toward the analyst low and into the mid‑teens.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Next quarterly earnings release (estimated)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+1.6
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-3.5
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+1.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 7.8 / Value 46.6 / Sentiment 58.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$20.57
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$15.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.63B
Beta
0.49
Shares Out
163.19M
P/E (TTM)
16.8
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
21.11
Rev YoY
+14.0%
EPS YoY
-40.5%
Gross Margin
+7.3%
Op Margin
+1.3%
Net Debt
$590.73M
Current Ratio
1.99
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data