B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KTOS
Kratos Defense Security SolutionsBNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$55.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-25
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+88.5
Score
AI commentary
News tone is constructive around the Q2 release and reported market response, but the packet lacks a clean event-window price series and post-print analyst revision breadth. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable; insider selling and cash-flow pressure warrant monitoring.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-25
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-04eventQ2 results and higher FY2026 revenue guidanceHigh impact
Kratos reported Q2 revenue of $458.8 million, 19.1% organic growth, $492.2 million of bookings, a 1.1x book-to-bill ratio, and raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $1.75-$1.81 billion. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
2026-11-23catalystGrowth-investment pressure on margins and cash flowHigh impact
Q2 included a $1.6 million operating loss, $13.6 million of company-funded R&D, $11.0 million of operating cash-flow use, and $18.9 million of free-cash-flow use after capital expenditures. Further working-capital or production investment could limit earnings conversion. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
2026-12-31catalystDefense program and production rampHigh impact
Sustained conversion of bookings and production investments could support growth across defense rocket systems, turbine technologies, microwave products, space, and unmanned systems. Kratos reported $1.99 billion of trailing-twelve-month bookings and a 1.3x book-to-bill ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-25 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology