B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KRO
Kronos WorldwideDNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is a cyclical recovery setup: competitor capacity exits help tighten supply while Kronos reduces curtailments and recovers fixed-cost absorption, allowing earnings and cash flow to rebound from a weak 2025 base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
What can break
Competitor closures fail to tighten the market because demand stays soft.
Momentum
94
Value
46
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.80 · Bull $7.40 · Bear $4.20Analysis 2026-04-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.50
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d +0.6
Value46 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment40 · Δ7d +1.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competitor closures fail to tighten the market because demand stays soft.
- • Liquidity or capital allocation actions become more defensive than investors expect.
- • The bear case is that weak TiO2 pricing and subscale utilization persist longer than expected, leaving Kronos with continued margin pressure, poor fixed-cost absorption, and limited evidence that 2025 was the trough.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Next quarterly results need to show curtailment damage is easing
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+1.6
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
40
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
-5.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 94.2 / Value 45.8 / Sentiment 39.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-18. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$931.14M
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
115.1M
P/E (TTM)
7.5
P/S (TTM)
0.29
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
54.19
Rev YoY
+12.9%
EPS YoY
-265.1%
Gross Margin
+12.0%
Op Margin
-0.8%
Net Debt
$540.3M
Current Ratio
3.30
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data