B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KRMN
KarmanANYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-12
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+70.6
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source tone remains positive because Q2 produced record revenue, earnings, backlog and bookings alongside raised guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]. The deterministic prior is still positive, but expected returns have moderated from the prior baseline. Post-release price-reaction attribution, analyst revisions, options skew, short interest, employee sentiment and sufficient social coverage are unavailable; zero-valued sentiment fields therefore denote missing data rather than neutral readings. The $35.28 anchor and unverified analyst-target coverage favor cautious monitoring over an aggressive bullish rating.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-12
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-15catalystLeverage and acquisition-integration checkpointMedium impact
The August credit amendment increased term-loan principal by $100 million to $863.961 million. The next reporting cycle should clarify the resulting leverage, interest burden and acquisition-integration implications; weak disclosure or slower deleveraging could pressure the valuation [#8-K-2026-08-28].
2026-12-31eventDelivery against raised FY2026 outlookHigh impact
Karman raised its 2026 outlook to $730-$745 million of revenue and $215-$222.5 million of adjusted EBITDA after reporting $182.1 million of Q2 revenue, $54.6 million of adjusted EBITDA and 24.4% organic growth. Achieving the revised ranges is the principal year-end operating checkpoint [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
2027-06-30catalystBacklog conversion and capacity expansionHigh impact
Record backlog of $1.3 billion and nearly $500 million of quarterly bookings provide forward demand visibility, while management expects production capability at the new 200,000-square-foot Salt Lake City factory before year-end 2026. Conversion timing, program execution and ramp efficiency will determine whether growth persists into 2027 [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-12 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology