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KRMN

KarmanA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 performance, strong organic growth, record backlog and bookings, and a raised 2026 outlook support continued growth if capacity and program execution remain on track [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.1.
What can break
Additional $100 million of term-loan principal increases balance-sheet and financing sensitivity [#8-K-2026-08-28].
Momentum
8
Value
40
Sentiment
95
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $31.00Analysis 2026-09-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $87.10
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -14.4
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment95 · Δ7d -7.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Additional $100 million of term-loan principal increases balance-sheet and financing sensitivity [#8-K-2026-08-28].
  • • Capacity ramp and Walker acquisition integration may not deliver expected benefits [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13].
  • • The thesis is exposed to backlog conversion, acquisition integration, higher debt, and remediation of the previously disclosed material weakness, with testing expected to continue into early 2027 [#8-K-2026-08-28] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13].

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 FY2026 results and raised outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
-61.6
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-4.2
Sentiment
95
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.1
Δ21d
+35.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 7.9 / Value 39.9 / Sentiment 95.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.19B
Beta
-
Shares Out
132.53M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
470.9
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-295.88
Rev YoY
+58.2%
EPS YoY
+106.0%
Gross Margin
+34.3%
Op Margin
+19.5%
Net Debt
$553.35M
Current Ratio
3.56
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data