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KOF

Coca-Cola FEMSA SAB de CV Class LB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The quarter showed operating resilience on a currency-neutral basis: revenue grew 6.0%, gross profit increased 4.5%, and adjusted EBITDA grew 6.1%, while South America helped offset Mexico and Central America weakness [#PR-2026-04-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.2.
What can break
Majority net income fell 15.5% because comprehensive financing result increased, highlighting earnings volatility [#PR-2026-04-29].
Momentum
69
Value
69
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $116.38 · Bull $126.00 · Bear $94.00Analysis 2026-06-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $122.95
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +9.5
Value69 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +6.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Majority net income fell 15.5% because comprehensive financing result increased, highlighting earnings volatility [#PR-2026-04-29].
  • Mexico and Central America weakness could persist if unfavorable volume and mix impacts from the excise-tax increase continue [#PR-2026-04-29].
  • Reported operating income declined 2.3% and majority net income declined 15.5%; Mexico and Central America operating income fell 17.4% because of unfavorable volume and mix impacts from the excise-tax increase, severance, and IT expenses [#PR-2026-04-29].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Next quarterly update tests whether 1Q26 strength holds

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
+9.5
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+8.2
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.2
Δ21d
+3.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 69.1 / Value 68.7 / Sentiment 65.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$116.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$94.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.71B
Beta
0.49
Shares Out
52.52M
P/E (TTM)
15.0
P/S (TTM)
1.22
P/FCF (TTM)
93.72
Rev YoY
+17.5%
EPS YoY
+31.3%
Gross Margin
+46.5%
Op Margin
+14.1%
Net Debt
$3.01B
Current Ratio
1.04
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data