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KNX

Knight-Swift TransportationD
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes freight demand stabilizes, pricing recovers, and Knight-Swift realizes cost synergies from fleet improvements and network optimization, driving multiples expansion to the analyst high.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Driver shortages or labor disruptions
Momentum
56
Value
52
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $61.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $90.42
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -0.8
Value52 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Driver shortages or labor disruptions
  • • Large fuel-price increases
  • • Bear case assumes a sustained spot-rate downturn, fuel-cost pressures, or a significant macro slowdown that compresses volumes and forces margin contraction; in that scenario multiples re-rate toward the low end of analyst views.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-24

Q1 2026 earnings & guidance update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+25.8
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
+2.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 55.8 / Value 51.7 / Sentiment 48.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.85B
Beta
1.16
Shares Out
162.76M
P/E (TTM)
61.7
P/S (TTM)
1.17
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
28.04
Rev YoY
+12.6%
EPS YoY
+25.5%
Gross Margin
+11.0%
Op Margin
+3.0%
Net Debt
$2.38B
Current Ratio
0.88
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data