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KNX

Knight-Swift TransportationC
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes freight demand stabilizes, pricing recovers, and Knight-Swift realizes cost synergies from fleet improvements and network optimization, driving multiples expansion to the analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.
What can break
Driver shortages or labor disruptions
Momentum
44
Value
53
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $61.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $86.79
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d +1.7
Value53 · Δ7d +1.2
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +6.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Driver shortages or labor disruptions
  • • Large fuel-price increases
  • • Bear case assumes a sustained spot-rate downturn, fuel-cost pressures, or a significant macro slowdown that compresses volumes and forces margin contraction; in that scenario multiples re-rate toward the low end of analyst views.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-24

Q1 2026 earnings & guidance update

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
-3.6
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.2
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+1.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 43.8 / Value 52.9 / Sentiment 53.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.96B
Beta
1.16
Shares Out
162.76M
P/E (TTM)
61.7
P/S (TTM)
1.17
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
23.58
Rev YoY
+12.6%
EPS YoY
+25.5%
Gross Margin
+11.0%
Op Margin
+3.0%
Net Debt
$2.38B
Current Ratio
0.88
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data