B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KMB
Kimberly-ClarkANasdaq / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Resilient volume-plus-mix, innovation, productivity savings, and gross-margin expansion provide a credible operating foundation; Kenvue closing and Arbex execution could improve the longer-term growth profile. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-19.
What can break
China social-media disruption may continue to pressure diaper sales, organic growth, and profits.
Momentum
41
Value
49
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $117.64 · Bull $126.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-18
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-18. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $115.29
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -9.8
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d -2.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-19.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • China social-media disruption may continue to pressure diaper sales, organic growth, and profits.
- • Kenvue transaction financing, timing, integration, and synergy realization remain execution risks.
- • China disruption is expected to remain a near-term headwind, and revised guidance calls for a low-single-digit decline in adjusted EPS attributable to Kimberly-Clark.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-30
China diaper disruption remains a near-term earnings drag
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.8
Δ21d
-13.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
+15.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 40.6 / Value 48.9 / Sentiment 82.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$117.64
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$35.89B
Beta
0.27
Shares Out
332.58M
P/E (TTM)
18.3
P/S (TTM)
1.80
P/FCF (TTM)
1479.49
Rev YoY
+0.6%
EPS YoY
-32.2%
Gross Margin
+36.8%
Op Margin
+14.2%
Net Debt
$6.78B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-09-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data