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KKR

KKRC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The USI agreement offers a sizable, identifiable Q4 realization, while Q3 monetization activity and Q2 fee-earnings strength support a positive operating prior. The sale's estimated adjusted net income remains conditional on closing.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-09 · BMO.
What can break
Fee growth, fundraising and investment realizations remain exposed to market conditions.
Momentum
33
Value
49
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $103.00 · Bull $123.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
48 · Non-qualifying
Next 2026-11-09 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-11-03 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-02

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-02. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $120.65
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +6.7
Value49 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Earnings surprise screen
48Non-qualifying2026-11-09 bmo
View setup

KKR’s Nov. 2 rebound lifted the stock roughly 6.6% from Oct. 27, and the latest financial-sector session was positive; however, the Nov. 2 close was not in the top quarter of its daily range and volume was not convincingly above 1.5x normal. Zacks’ recent-estimate comparison was bearish despite a reported upward change in consensus EPS, and no positive revenue revision/upside signal was confirmed, leaving the required surprise setup incomplete.

Screen as of 2026-11-03. Window 2026-11-03 to 2026-11-09.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-09 · BMO.
  • • Pre-earnings setup: 48 / non-qualifying.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fee growth, fundraising and investment realizations remain exposed to market conditions.
  • • Quarter-to-date monetization income does not represent full-quarter revenue or earnings and may not recur.
  • • USI approval or closing could slip, realization income is episodic, and the September monetization estimate omits other income and expenses.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-09 · BMO

November 9 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+6.7
Δ21d
+15.4
Value
49
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
57
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 33.4 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 57.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$123.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$103.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$84.73B
Beta
1.99
Shares Out
897.64M
P/E (TTM)
57.3
P/S (TTM)
6.66
P/FCF (TTM)
27.46
Rev YoY
+20.4%
EPS YoY
+41.0%
Gross Margin
+46.1%
Op Margin
+23.5%
Net Debt
$37.61B
Current Ratio
5.25
As of 2026-11-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data