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KEY

KeyCorpC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 EPS of $0.51 versus Zacks' $0.46 consensus, higher commercial-loan guidance, lower expected charge-offs and continued buybacks support an improved earnings path. DA Davidson raised its target to $27 from $26 and retained Buy.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.1.
What can break
Commercial loan growth or deposit funding may fall short of the raised outlook, limiting the expected margin gain.
Momentum
37
Value
54
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $17.50Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.11
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d +5.0
Value54 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -5.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercial loan growth or deposit funding may fall short of the raised outlook, limiting the expected margin gain.
  • • Credit deterioration could reverse the improved 37–39 basis-point charge-off outlook; Q3's $61 million provision included a reserve release. Q3 earnings call transcript
  • • The initial beat is not unanimous evidence of a rerating: RBC cut its target to $24 from $25 while retaining Outperform.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-06

Q3 earnings beat meets mixed post-print target revisions

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
+3.1
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.1
Δ21d
-16.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 37.4 / Value 54.1 / Sentiment 60.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$22.5B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
1.07B
P/E (TTM)
26.4
P/S (TTM)
3.69
P/FCF (TTM)
11.11
Rev YoY
-2.2%
EPS YoY
+24.7%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+23.0%
Net Debt
$10.21B
Current Ratio
0.45
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data