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KBH

KB HomeC
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Community growth, a larger backlog and greater Built-to-Order delivery mix could support the guided fourth-quarter improvement if orders stabilize [#SEC-8K-2026-09-22].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Higher mortgage rates and affordability pressure may keep buyers cautious [#SEC-8K-2026-09-22].
Momentum
17
Value
59
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-10-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.14
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -0.6
Value59 · Δ7d -1.3
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -9.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher mortgage rates and affordability pressure may keep buyers cautious [#SEC-8K-2026-09-22].
  • • Notes payable rose to $2.11 billion from $1.69 billion at fiscal year-end 2025, increasing balance-sheet sensitivity [#SEC-8K-2026-09-22].
  • • Third-quarter revenue fell 20% and orders fell 12% year over year; pricing pressure, land costs and weaker operating leverage compressed margins despite sequential improvement [#SEC-8K-2026-09-22].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Fiscal fourth-quarter delivery and margin test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-7.3
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
-24.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 17.0 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 50.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.86B
Beta
1.48
Shares Out
60.76M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
0.62
P/FCF (TTM)
14.61
Rev YoY
-27.3%
EPS YoY
-71.2%
Gross Margin
+17.0%
Op Margin
+6.0%
Net Debt
$1.48B
Current Ratio
6.80
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data