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KAI

KadantB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue increased 23% to a record $312.9 million, adjusted EPS rose 26% to $3.42, adjusted EBITDA reached $68.1 million, and operating cash flow increased 32%. Strong aftermarket demand and eventual conversion of delayed capital projects could sustain growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
What can break
Analyst revision, options-skew, short-interest, employee-sentiment, and reliable social-sentiment evidence is unavailable.
Momentum
39
Value
58
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $285.00 · Bull $350.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-09-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $357.50
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +15.0
Value58 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +0.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revision, options-skew, short-interest, employee-sentiment, and reliable social-sentiment evidence is unavailable.
  • • CEO succession introduces execution and capital-allocation uncertainty approaching January 2027.
  • • Organic bookings declined 1%, capital-project timing remained constrained by customer caution, and gross margin fell 210 basis points to 43.8% because of product mix and the lower-margin profile of recent acquisitions.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-19

Backlog conversion versus capital-project delays

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+15.0
Δ21d
+9.7
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-5.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 39.4 / Value 58.4 / Sentiment 64.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.1B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
11.81M
P/E (TTM)
34.3
P/S (TTM)
3.41
P/FCF (TTM)
26.08
Rev YoY
+22.6%
EPS YoY
+23.8%
Gross Margin
+44.4%
Op Margin
+15.5%
Net Debt
$293.09M
Current Ratio
2.59
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data