B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
JRSH
Jerash (US)CNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The June 15 earnings release materially improved the operating backdrop: fiscal Q4 revenue rose 46.6% to $42.9 million, full-year revenue reached a record $166.3 million, net income turned positive, and management guided another year-over-year growth quarter while pointing to booked facilities and phased capacity additions [#SEC-8K-2026-06-15].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Capacity expansion and warehouse reorganization add execution risk; delays in renovation, hiring, or ramp productivity could blunt the benefit of the current order book [#SEC-8K-2026-06-15].
Momentum
73
Value
64
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.60 · Bull $5.75 · Bear $3.40Analysis 2026-06-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.50
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -
Value64 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Capacity expansion and warehouse reorganization add execution risk; delays in renovation, hiring, or ramp productivity could blunt the benefit of the current order book [#SEC-8K-2026-06-15].
- • Customer diversification is improving but remains a key monitoring item; if newer customer orders fade or concentration re-tightens, revenue visibility could deteriorate quickly for a low-capacity-buffer small-cap manufacturer [#SEC-8K-2026-06-15].
- • Coverage remains thin, analyst target breadth is limited, and the packet's target summary is effectively at the current price, so the stock may need another confirmed quarter of demand, margin discipline, and diversification progress before the market gives the earnings print a lasting higher multiple.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Post-earnings re-rating may stall near the existing target framework
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+16.5
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 73.0 / Value 63.6 / Sentiment 47.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-18. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$71.63M
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
12.7M
P/E (TTM)
65.4
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
18.14
Rev YoY
+26.7%
EPS YoY
+400.0%
Gross Margin
+15.9%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
-$2.18M
Current Ratio
3.11
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data