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JOBY

Joby AviationF
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The revenue beat, higher 2026 outlook, Blade passenger volume above 44,000, certification testing and $2.2 billion of cash and short-term investments support a more constructive execution view. Toyota's verified shareholding in its June 2026 disclosure is strategic ownership, not proof of additional funding or a supply arrangement.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Air Force work is subject to funding constraints, eIPP projects to contract finalization, and the Resonant Sciences acquisition to closing and integration risks. [#IR-2026-11-04]
Momentum
7
Value
34
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.60 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $3.20Analysis 2026-11-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-06 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-05 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-11-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-05

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-05. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.50
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d +1.9
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Air Force work is subject to funding constraints, eIPP projects to contract finalization, and the Resonant Sciences acquisition to closing and integration risks. [#IR-2026-11-04]
  • • FAA certification and commercial passenger-service timing remain uncertain despite reported for-credit testing. [#IR-2026-11-04]
  • • The revenue is primarily from Blade rather than certified electric-air-taxi operations.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

Q3 revenue beat and 2026 outlook increase

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
34
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
58
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 7.3 / Value 33.6 / Sentiment 57.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-11-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-06
Market Cap
$5.89B
Beta
2.57
Shares Out
993.87M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.3
P/S (TTM)
645.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-7.32
Rev YoY
+257493.3%
EPS YoY
-37.9%
Gross Margin
-3.7%
Op Margin
-754.0%
Net Debt
-$1.36B
Current Ratio
17.98
As of 2026-11-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data