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JOBY

Joby AviationC
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 improved forward visibility through a higher revenue outlook, continued certification progress, five aircraft flying, 12 in production, and planned Texas eIPP flights. On-time execution could shift the narrative from development to commercialization.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
First passengers in 2026 and FAA certification timing are management targets, not completed milestones; eIPP demonstration flights may not translate into certified recurring passenger revenue. [#IR-2026-08-05]
Momentum
6
Value
34
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.80 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $4.20Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-04 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-04 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-04

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-04. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.81
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +1.0
Value34 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment100 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • First passengers in 2026 and FAA certification timing are management targets, not completed milestones; eIPP demonstration flights may not translate into certified recurring passenger revenue. [#IR-2026-08-05]
  • • Peer comparability is weak and the packet lacks social, options, short-interest, and complete analyst-revision data.
  • • The company remains deeply loss-making, with substantial expected cash use.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 results raised revenue outlook but losses remain substantial

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
34
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
100
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 6.3 / Value 33.6 / Sentiment 100.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-04
Market Cap
$5.02B
Beta
2.57
Shares Out
993.87M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.5
P/S (TTM)
645.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-6.23
Rev YoY
+257493.3%
EPS YoY
-37.9%
Gross Margin
-3.7%
Op Margin
-754.0%
Net Debt
-$1.36B
Current Ratio
17.98
As of 2026-11-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data