JCI
Johnson Controls InternationalDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The post-print bull case is straightforward: JCI delivered a clean beat-and-raise, record backlog, and strong order growth, while management explicitly tied momentum to data centers and other high-growth mission-critical environments. Reuters reported the FY2026 adjusted profit outlook was raised to $4.85 from $4.70, reinforcing that the earnings upside was not only backward-looking.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Execution risk remains around the Business System transformation narrative; the June 1, 2026 investor event needs to validate that productivity and speed-to-market gains are durable rather than presentation-led.
Momentum
49
Value
48
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $145.50 · Bull $154.00 · Bear $126.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $158.22
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d +1.8
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
+3.7
Value
48
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-3.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 48.5 / Value 48.3 / Sentiment 47.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$85.7B
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
610.12M
P/E (TTM)
46.3
P/S (TTM)
3.15
P/FCF (TTM)
38.59
Rev YoY
+8.2%
EPS YoY
+38.1%
Gross Margin
+36.5%
Op Margin
+9.7%
Net Debt
$10.81B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

