RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

JCI

Johnson Controls InternationalC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Fiscal Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.66 exceeded the $1.58 consensus reported by Zacks; continuing-operations revenue of $7.11 billion exceeded its $6.97 billion consensus. Record orders and backlog support the company's FY27 growth and cash-conversion outlook.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-29.
What can break
Backlog comparability is affected by a revised definition that includes certain longer-cycle equipment-only projects; the company restated prior backlog. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
Momentum
84
Value
48
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $152.00 · Bull $180.00 · Bear $128.00Analysis 2026-10-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $179.11
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +10.6
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +4.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-29.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog comparability is affected by a revised definition that includes certain longer-cycle equipment-only projects; the company restated prior backlog. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
  • • Backlog conversion and customer concentration in data centers may not sustain the Q4 order-growth rate. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
  • • The post-print rally leaves less room for another near-term rerating.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

FY27 first-quarter guidance test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
84
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.6
Δ21d
+1.4
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 84.1 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$152.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$95.87B
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
605.74M
P/E (TTM)
46.3
P/S (TTM)
3.15
P/FCF (TTM)
38.59
Rev YoY
+9.3%
EPS YoY
+15.1%
Gross Margin
+36.6%
Op Margin
+14.4%
Net Debt
$10.81B
Current Ratio
0.97
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data