B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo SonBNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record fiscal-year sales, 4.6% EPS growth, the Q4 volume inflection, private-brand and Fisher shipment strength, and new bar capacity could support renewed growth if margins recover.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.6.
What can break
Full-year volume declined 2.5%, and analyst estimate or target revisions are unavailable.
Momentum
18
Value
50
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $95.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-19 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $100.00
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d -5.5
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +12.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Full-year volume declined 2.5%, and analyst estimate or target revisions are unavailable.
- • Input, transportation, resin, fuel, and commodity-cost inflation may outpace pricing actions.
- • Q4 margin compression, recall and customer-related charges, category softness, a 2.5% full-year volume decline, and commodity, freight, tariff, and crop-cost risks could delay the recovery.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-19
Q4 volume rebound despite earnings pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
18
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.5
Δ21d
-31.1
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-7.1
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.6
Δ21d
+20.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 18.4 / Value 50.5 / Sentiment 79.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-19
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-19
Market Cap
$979.47M
Beta
0.36
Shares Out
11.69M
P/E (TTM)
12.4
P/S (TTM)
0.72
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-91.21
Rev YoY
+4.2%
EPS YoY
-38.4%
Gross Margin
+17.9%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
$108.2M
Current Ratio
2.08
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data