B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$85.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
JBSS
John B Sanfilippo SonBNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record fiscal 2026 sales of $1.18 billion and EPS of $5.26, followed by renewed Q4 volume growth, support a recovery case if private-label distribution expands and manufacturing costs normalize. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-19]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
An externally sourced ingredient recall generated $2.7 million of Q4 costs; recurrence or incomplete recovery would pressure earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-19]
Momentum
30
Value
54
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $72.00 · Bull $85.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $100.00
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +6.6
Value54 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • An externally sourced ingredient recall generated $2.7 million of Q4 costs; recurrence or incomplete recovery would pressure earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-19]
- • Bar-capacity utilization depends on converting production capability into sustained customer demand. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q4]
- • Q4 EPS fell 38.3% to $0.71 despite higher sales.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-30
Fiscal 2027 first-quarter volume and margin test
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
+10.3
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
68
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-4.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 29.9 / Value 53.6 / Sentiment 68.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$775.75M
Beta
0.36
Shares Out
11.69M
P/E (TTM)
12.4
P/S (TTM)
0.72
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-72.22
Rev YoY
+4.2%
EPS YoY
-38.4%
Gross Margin
+17.9%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
$108.2M
Current Ratio
2.08
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data