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IVR

Invesco Mortgage CapitalC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
View Chart
Current thesis
The best post-print support is that earnings available for distribution held at $0.55 per share versus $0.56 in Q4, net interest income improved sequentially, repo funding costs eased, and management entered Q2 with a more constructive Agency RMBS view. The stock also finished May 1 at $8.33 versus $8.13 on April 30, suggesting the market absorbed the book-value hit without a breakdown.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Book value remains highly sensitive to interest-rate volatility, Agency RMBS spread moves, and swap-spread tightening.
Momentum
36
Value
63
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.40 · Bull $8.90 · Bear $7.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.63
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -3.0
Value63 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -3.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
36
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-27.2
Value
63
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
57
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-4.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 36.4 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 56.6

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$734.23M
Beta
1.71
Shares Out
92.82M
P/E (TTM)
16.7
P/S (TTM)
2.05
P/FCF (TTM)
12.10
Rev YoY
-2571.5%
EPS YoY
-209.0%
Gross Margin
+96.5%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$5.45B
Current Ratio
0.05
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology