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GartnerB
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
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Current thesis
The constructive case is that Gartner enters 2026 with high visibility in Insights, strong conference bookings, a stated expectation for CV acceleration through the year, and meaningful repurchase capacity that can amplify EPS if demand stabilizes. The median analyst target in the packet, $192.67, sits well above the $147.71 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.8.
What can break
Consulting remains less visible than Insights and more dependent on backlog and pipeline conversion.
Momentum
79
Value
68
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $162.00 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $132.00Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $188.08
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -4.7
Value68 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +15.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consulting remains less visible than Insights and more dependent on backlog and pipeline conversion.
  • • Higher leverage following the recent bond issuance and execution around the Digital Markets divestiture add balance-sheet and transaction risk, even if liquidity remains solid.
  • • The cautious case is that recent hard data still show only modest revenue growth, weaker year-over-year EPS and free-cash-flow comparisons, and management itself described a challenging selling environment.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-05

Q1 2026 earnings call is the immediate thesis reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
-13.5
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.8
Δ21d
+8.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 79.0 / Value 67.7 / Sentiment 57.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$162.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$132.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.32B
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
63.15M
P/E (TTM)
21.0
P/S (TTM)
2.67
P/FCF (TTM)
14.19
Rev YoY
-0.6%
EPS YoY
+32.9%
Gross Margin
+66.7%
Op Margin
+18.8%
Net Debt
$1.63B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data