B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IT
GartnerDNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The constructive case is that Gartner enters 2026 with high visibility in Insights, strong conference bookings, a stated expectation for CV acceleration through the year, and meaningful repurchase capacity that can amplify EPS if demand stabilizes. The median analyst target in the packet, $192.67, sits well above the $147.71 anchor price.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Consulting remains less visible than Insights and more dependent on backlog and pipeline conversion.
Momentum
88
Value
65
Sentiment
23
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $162.00 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $132.00Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $194.58
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +7.4
Value65 · Δ7d -0.9
Sentiment23 · Δ7d -8.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Consulting remains less visible than Insights and more dependent on backlog and pipeline conversion.
- • Higher leverage following the recent bond issuance and execution around the Digital Markets divestiture add balance-sheet and transaction risk, even if liquidity remains solid.
- • The cautious case is that recent hard data still show only modest revenue growth, weaker year-over-year EPS and free-cash-flow comparisons, and management itself described a challenging selling environment.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-05
Q1 2026 earnings call is the immediate thesis reset
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
+26.1
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
23
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
-24.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 88.2 / Value 65.2 / Sentiment 23.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$162.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$132.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$14.54B
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
63.15M
P/E (TTM)
21.0
P/S (TTM)
2.67
P/FCF (TTM)
14.19
Rev YoY
-0.6%
EPS YoY
+32.9%
Gross Margin
+66.7%
Op Margin
+18.8%
Net Debt
$1.63B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data