B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IRM
Iron MountainCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 was not just a beat but a guide-raise backed by broad-based strength: organic growth was unusually strong, growth businesses expanded faster than legacy storage, and data center leasing momentum suggests the higher-growth mix can keep lifting EBITDA and AFFO.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
What can break
Because the stock already trades above the packet median target, any evidence that raised 2026 guidance was a one-quarter peak rather than a durable step-up could trigger a valuation reset.
Momentum
44
Value
52
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $123.00 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $110.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $136.91
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d +12.1
Value52 · Δ7d -
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Because the stock already trades above the packet median target, any evidence that raised 2026 guidance was a one-quarter peak rather than a durable step-up could trigger a valuation reset.
- • Data center execution risk is real: leasing momentum, energization timing, service continuity, and power availability all matter to converting the current pipeline into durable cash flow. [#8-K-2026-04-30]
- • The bear case is that much of the good news is already reflected in the stock after the post-print rally; execution now has to stay very strong in leasing, services, and capital deployment, and any moderation in growth-business momentum could compress the premium quickly.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q1 beat and raised 2026 outlook [#8-K-2026-04-30]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
44
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+12.1
Δ21d
-22.8
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+6.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 44.0 / Value 52.0 / Sentiment 56.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$123.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$38.67B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
297.7M
P/E (TTM)
156.6
P/S (TTM)
3.72
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-26.08
Rev YoY
+18.5%
EPS YoY
-322.4%
Gross Margin
+39.8%
Op Margin
+20.7%
Net Debt
$18.9B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data