B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IOT
SamsaraANYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The earnings follow-up strengthens the growth thesis: Q2 revenue and ARR grew 30%, large-customer additions reached quarterly records, profitability continued, and management guided to sustained GAAP profitability. Multiple post-print market reports described upward target revisions, including BofA from $47 to $55 and Guggenheim from $45 to $51.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Competitive pressure, longer sales cycles, macro conditions, security incidents, foreign-exchange movements, and higher operating costs could impair growth or margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03]
Momentum
62
Value
46
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $52.50 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $52.48
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -22.8
Value46 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment100 · Δ7d +25.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +25.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competitive pressure, longer sales cycles, macro conditions, security incidents, foreign-exchange movements, and higher operating costs could impair growth or margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-03]
- • Post-earnings price action has been less durable than the initial gap, increasing near-term pullback risk.
- • The stock's initial post-print gap was not fully sustained by September 8, while FY27 guidance implies growth deceleration from Q2.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-03
Q2 FY27 beat-and-raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
62
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.8
Δ21d
-22.4
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+5.5
Sentiment
100
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+25.0
Δ21d
+29.3
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 61.8 / Value 45.7 / Sentiment 100.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$52.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$22.8B
Beta
1.62
Shares Out
584.51M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2452.8
P/S (TTM)
13.01
P/FCF (TTM)
101.83
Rev YoY
+30.5%
EPS YoY
-294.1%
Gross Margin
+76.2%
Op Margin
-0.7%
Net Debt
-$767.08M
Current Ratio
1.36
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data