B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
IESC
IESFNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Backlog converts at higher margins and operational efficiency expands EBITDA, supporting a re-rating toward the bull target (~$21.40, +25% from anchor).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Backlog slowdowns from project cancellations
Momentum
77
Value
51
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $21.40 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2025-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $440.00
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -14.9
Value51 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog slowdowns from project cancellations
- • Higher-than-expected input/labor costs
- • Persistent input-cost inflation, missed contracts, or disputes compress margins and cash flow, pushing shares toward the bear target (~$14.00, -18% from anchor).
Catalyst clock
2025-10-28
Next quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.9
Δ21d
-13.7
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 76.5 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.82B
Beta
1.72
Shares Out
19.92M
P/E (TTM)
28.0
P/S (TTM)
2.50
P/FCF (TTM)
38.55
Rev YoY
+39.6%
EPS YoY
+98.5%
Gross Margin
+24.9%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
-$136.07M
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data