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IDR

Idaho Strategic ResourcesC
NYSE American / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue, attributable earnings, ounces produced and realized gold prices improved year over year. Jumbo vein production, Paymaster progress and mill/tailings construction provide identifiable execution upside if Q3 validates the plan.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.7.
What can break
Gold-price volatility, permitting, construction costs and recovery-rate variability remain material mining risks. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
Momentum
17
Value
48
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $24.00Analysis 2026-08-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $45.00
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -4.4
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +5.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Gold-price volatility, permitting, construction costs and recovery-rate variability remain material mining risks. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
  • • Lower ore grades and higher AISC could pressure margins and cash generation. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
  • • The Q2 print missed consensus, feed grade weakened, AISC increased and the quarter included wildfire disruption and mining-transition complexity.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Q2 2026 earnings follow-up is mixed-to-negative

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-5.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+4.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 17.4 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 62.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$485.07M
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
15.83M
P/E (TTM)
65.1
P/S (TTM)
19.92
P/FCF (TTM)
268.10
Rev YoY
+13.2%
EPS YoY
+16.7%
Gross Margin
+50.1%
Op Margin
+45.1%
Net Debt
-$43.33M
Current Ratio
12.17
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data