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IDN

IntellicheckA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed 16% year-over-year revenue growth, a 91% gross margin, and $1.1 million of adjusted EBITDA, while diversification reached about 500 customers across 14 segments. Continued banking growth, newer API adoption, and emerging verticals could replace affected customer volume faster than expected [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.
What can break
A customer accounting for approximately 29% of first-half 2026 revenue is shifting to a multi-vendor architecture, creating material concentration and volume risk.
Momentum
9
Value
60
Sentiment
90
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.65 · Bull $4.25 · Bear $1.45Analysis 2026-09-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-15 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-15

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-15. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.83
Why
Momentum9 · Δ7d +3.1
Value60 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment90 · Δ7d +6.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A customer accounting for approximately 29% of first-half 2026 revenue is shifting to a multi-vendor architecture, creating material concentration and volume risk.
  • • Low coverage and absent post-Q2 estimate-revision data make forward revenue, margin, and valuation expectations unusually uncertain.
  • • A single customer represented about 29% of first-half revenue and is testing an alternative provider.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Q2 demonstrated operating leverage before the customer transition

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
9
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+5.4
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
90
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+11.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 8.8 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 90.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$59.79M
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
20.27M
P/E (TTM)
594.2
P/S (TTM)
5.86
P/FCF (TTM)
370.91
Rev YoY
+16.0%
EPS YoY
-349.6%
Gross Margin
+91.0%
Op Margin
+11.8%
Net Debt
-$9.65M
Current Ratio
4.98
As of 2026-09-15 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data