B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ICUI
ICU MedicalDNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull read is that May 7, 2026 results beat the limited checked consensus on both revenue and adjusted EPS, gross margin improved to 39% from 35%, and core Consumables plus Infusion Systems both grew year over year despite the IV Solutions divestiture [#8-K-2026-05-07] [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
What can break
Foreign exchange, tariffs, and single/limited-source supply exposure are still explicitly flagged by management as forward risks [#8-K-2026-05-07].
Momentum
72
Value
57
Sentiment
32
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $118.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $102.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $195.57
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -1.9
Value57 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment32 · Δ7d +9.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Foreign exchange, tariffs, and single/limited-source supply exposure are still explicitly flagged by management as forward risks [#8-K-2026-05-07].
- • Long-term debt remains high at $1.262 billion net of current portion as of March 31, 2026, leaving earnings sensitive to rates and execution [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
- • The bear read is that reported revenue still fell 12% year over year, adjusted EBITDA was roughly flat at $98.7 million versus $99.4 million, operating cash flow fell to $38.9 million from $51.3 million, and the unresolved 2025 warning-letter/510(k) path can keep the stock in a monitoring range even after a headline beat [#8-K-2026-05-07] [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Q1 earnings beat produced only a modest initial rerating
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-16.7
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
32
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
+14.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 71.9 / Value 57.4 / Sentiment 32.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$102.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.56B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
25.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
6145.1
P/S (TTM)
1.53
P/FCF (TTM)
57.17
Rev YoY
+0.6%
EPS YoY
-46.7%
Gross Margin
+34.5%
Op Margin
+6.7%
Net Debt
$1.04B
Current Ratio
2.39
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data