RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

IBKR

Interactive Brokers GroupB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The Q2 beat was broad rather than isolated: commissions, net interest income, accounts, client equity, DARTs and margin loans all grew strongly, while pretax margin remained 77% [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21]. BMO subsequently raised its target to $110, providing some external confirmation of the growth outlook [Investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/bmo-raises-interactive-brokers-stock-price-target-on-growth-outlook-93CH-4806408).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Analyst coverage, options, short-interest and social-sentiment data are incomplete or unavailable.
Momentum
65
Value
48
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $96.00 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $80.00Analysis 2026-07-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $108.72
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +3.7
Value48 · Δ7d -7.9
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage, options, short-interest and social-sentiment data are incomplete or unavailable.
  • • Lower interest rates or weaker customer cash and margin balances could pressure net interest income.
  • • The initial earnings reaction was positive, with shares reported up 2.98% during regular trading before slipping 0.41% after hours [Investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-interactive-brokers-tops-q2-2026-forecasts-as-trading-stays-strong-93CH-4804334).

Catalyst clock

2026-07-21

Q2 2026 earnings beat with record operating metrics

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+23.1
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.9
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+1.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 65.0 / Value 48.2 / Sentiment 67.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$42.74B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
453.08M
P/E (TTM)
34.4
P/S (TTM)
12.00
P/FCF (TTM)
7.66
Rev YoY
+21.4%
EPS YoY
+36.6%
Gross Margin
+95.3%
Op Margin
+86.7%
Net Debt
-$56.89B
Current Ratio
1.05
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data