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HY

Hyster-YaleC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If bookings keep improving and backlog continues to rebuild, HY could lift production in Q3 2026 and get more meaningful benefit from pricing, sourcing, and product-cost actions into 2H 2026 and 2027 [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03.
What can break
Backlog is still around or below a typical three-to-four-month range, so the Q3 production ramp could stall if bookings soften again [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Momentum
37
Value
34
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-05-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.00
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -14.1
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog is still around or below a typical three-to-four-month range, so the Q3 production ramp could stall if bookings soften again [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
  • • Operational execution risk remains on restructuring, sourcing adjustments, pricing actions, and product-cost reductions [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
  • • Tariffs remain a material headwind through 2026, Q2 tariff expense should rise before mitigants help, and the Q1 revenue mix shift toward lighter-duty, lower-priced trucks shows demand and mix pressure can persist [#10-Q-2026-05-05].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03

Q2 tariff expense likely rises before mitigation benefits

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-14.1
Δ21d
-8.5
Value
34
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
84
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+5.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 37.0 / Value 34.1 / Sentiment 84.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$526.98M
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
17.93M
P/E (TTM)
215.2
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM)
19.71
Rev YoY
-15.0%
EPS YoY
+124.7%
Gross Margin
+15.5%
Op Margin
-1.4%
Net Debt
$519M
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data