B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HY
Hyster-YaleCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
If bookings keep improving and backlog continues to rebuild, HY could lift production in Q3 2026 and get more meaningful benefit from pricing, sourcing, and product-cost actions into 2H 2026 and 2027 [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.4.
What can break
Backlog is still around or below a typical three-to-four-month range, so the Q3 production ramp could stall if bookings soften again [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Momentum
68
Value
34
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-05-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.00
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +4.7
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -4.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog is still around or below a typical three-to-four-month range, so the Q3 production ramp could stall if bookings soften again [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
- • Operational execution risk remains on restructuring, sourcing adjustments, pricing actions, and product-cost reductions [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
- • Tariffs remain a material headwind through 2026, Q2 tariff expense should rise before mitigants help, and the Q1 revenue mix shift toward lighter-duty, lower-priced trucks shows demand and mix pressure can persist [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q2 tariff expense likely rises before mitigation benefits
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+27.2
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-24.1
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-6.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 68.2 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 64.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$622.19M
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
17.93M
P/E (TTM)
215.2
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM)
19.71
Rev YoY
-15.0%
EPS YoY
+124.7%
Gross Margin
+15.5%
Op Margin
-1.4%
Net Debt
$519M
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data