RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

HUBG

Hub GroupB
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The operating case is that Hub Group still has a solid balance sheet, continued capital returns, preliminary 2026 revenue guidance of $3.65 billion to $3.95 billion, and potential support from intermodal volume stabilization once filing risk clears.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Additional audit adjustments or accounting issues beyond the currently disclosed purchased-transportation-cost and accounts-payable error
Momentum
4
Value
57
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $43.00 · Bull $51.00 · Bear $31.00Analysis 2026-06-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $35.60
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -1.3
Value57 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +5.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Additional audit adjustments or accounting issues beyond the currently disclosed purchased-transportation-cost and accounts-payable error
  • • Brokerage softness, weaker logistics demand, or final-mile onboarding pressure offsetting intermodal stability
  • • The accounting error, restatement work, delayed 2025 10-K and Q1 2026 10-Q, Nasdaq compliance deadline, and recent CFO/COO departures create a governance and credibility overhang that can outweigh normal freight-cycle analysis.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Interim CFO and COO turnover adds governance noise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-15.9
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.2
Δ21d
+15.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 4.3 / Value 57.5 / Sentiment 78.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$51.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.41B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
61.15M
P/E (TTM)
25.4
P/S (TTM)
0.72
P/FCF (TTM)
32.36
Rev YoY
-5.3%
EPS YoY
+22.2%
Gross Margin
+7.9%
Op Margin
+3.8%
Net Debt
$381.56M
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data